Análise de regressão: um estudo entre as despesas com pessoal e as despesas por função nas capitais do nordeste brasileiro no período de 2005 a 2008.

Abstract

This study aimed to formulate a multiple regression model that could predict future changes in personnel expenses accounted for by per capita expenditure by functions of the capital of the Brazilian Northeast in the period 2005 to 2008.The interest arose because of the statistical models of multiple regression provide information that can drive better management and application of resources. The methodological procedures used to translate the many goals as descriptive, as technical procedures, the study is bibliographic and documentary using primary source documents and secondary schools, how the results were used multivariate multiple regression type. Data from staff and expenditures by function such as health, education, social assistance spending legislation, among others, in the period 2005 to 2008 made the capital of northeastern Brazil, these figures were transformed into per capita expenditures. The descriptive analysis of expenditure on personnel found that the more capital that influence the rating of personnel expenses per capita are: Aracaju, Natal and Joao Pessoa. The regression model found shows that the costs that may explain or serve as independent variables are health and education. Thus, the manager may be used in such a regression to justify spending cuts or increases in certain segments of public administration, through a mathematical model to assist in decision-making.