Os determinantes causais dos homicídios na Paraíba.

Abstract

Brazil is responsible for 1 in 10 violent deaths recorded worldwide and in 2016 surpassed the historic mark of 60 (sixty) thousand homicides (Atlas of Violence, 2018). This is equivalent to a rate of over 30 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, 30 times the rate in Europe. In the last ten years alone, 553,000 people lost their lives due to intentional violence in Brazil, which would mean, for example, more than 135% of the population of the municipality of Campina Grande, estimated at 407,472 people (IBGE, 2018). Thus, the work shows great relevance in the current scenario, considering that public safety is considered as one of the pillars in the public policies of the country, in the areas of Education and Health, and its study is essential. Homicides, in turn, serve within the public security study, as an indicator of state quality as a guarantor of public peace, and can be used as a thermometer to analyze the quality of life and democracy of a given territory, in view of that identifying its dynamics, causes and mechanisms turn out to be the main real way to control the violence of a place, and public security policies should delimit the control of crimes against life, one of its main points to guarantee the quality of life. of your citizens. Thus, the objective of this dissertation was to determine the dynamics of homicides in the State of Paraíba, using the study of the micro as a demonstrative for the macro view that would be the Northeast region of Brazil, aiming, focusing on the theory relevant to the theme, namely, the study of crime and violence. The general objective of the present investigation was to analyze by means of data and theories the determinants of homicides in Paraíba State. And to achieve this purpose, we used a bibliographic and documentary methodology, as well as a quantitative analysis of the main socioeconomic variables and state control, through correlation analysis and linear regression, being able to understand the negative relationship between them, In other words, as independent variables improved, homicide rates tended to decrease in the state of Paraíba. Having arrived at results that prove that socioeconomic factors alone cannot justify, in their entirety, the decrease in homicidal rates, and should act with state control policies.