SÁ, F. R. F.; http://lattes.cnpq.br/4009726399017458; SÁ, Filipe Rafael Farias de.
Résumé:
The energetic planning is a key tool to the country development, mostly when
done of the adequate and reliable way. Thus is done in this paper an analysis of the
current conditions of Brazilian electric sector and projections for the following years in
order to have an outlook on the situation of this sector in Brazil. For this, methods used
for obtaining the estimates and projections of official documented data are analyzed. It
is given greater focus on that is contained in the Ten-Year Energy Expansion Plans, in
particular the latest, released in 2014. The main points of interest are studied and the
similarities and differences between the documents are compared. Projections with real
data from situations that have already occurred are also compared. So the accuracy of
these projections is checked and the reliability is analyzed. Under the circumstances it
was found that the of the Ten-Year Plan features enable the credibility on the guarantee
given that there will be no energy deficits within the study horizon.
