Panorama atual do Setor Elétrico Brasileiro: análise do Plano Decenal de Expansão de Energia 2014-2023.

Abstract

The energetic planning is a key tool to the country development, mostly when done of the adequate and reliable way. Thus is done in this paper an analysis of the current conditions of Brazilian electric sector and projections for the following years in order to have an outlook on the situation of this sector in Brazil. For this, methods used for obtaining the estimates and projections of official documented data are analyzed. It is given greater focus on that is contained in the Ten-Year Energy Expansion Plans, in particular the latest, released in 2014. The main points of interest are studied and the similarities and differences between the documents are compared. Projections with real data from situations that have already occurred are also compared. So the accuracy of these projections is checked and the reliability is analyzed. Under the circumstances it was found that the of the Ten-Year Plan features enable the credibility on the guarantee given that there will be no energy deficits within the study horizon.