Padrões de comportamento da Câmara dos Deputados nas votações nominais de 2015 a 2019: fatores endógenos e exógenos ao parlamento.

Abstract

The present research analyzes the behavior of Brazilian federal deputies in regarding to rollcall votes. Based on the perspective of neo-institutionalism, we seek to observe which factors affects the position and the voting of deputies. First, an analytical survey was carried out on which North American theories exert explanatory mechanisms in the Brazilian decision-making process. The research addressed the studies about the US Congress as a reference, but also brings original studies and perspectives on the operation of Congress and the relation between powers in Brazil. The research starts from the following question: do subnational incentives affect the behavior of federal deputies, causing them to tend, in the presence of opposing incentives, to vote less according to the indication of the federal government? The analysis takes roll-call voting from federal deputies during the period from 2015 to 2019, corresponding to the 55th legislature and the first year of the 56th. The universe analyzed considers the presidential coalition and the party of the governor of the state of origin of the parliamentarian, in order to test the extent to which factors such as the influence of the governor affect the congruence between the parliamentarian's vote and the federal government's nomination. In addition, other factors such as the incumbent president at the time of voting, electoral performance, urbanization and the HDI of the federal deputies' home state were taken into account. Having these topics established, the description of the data under various criteria, as well as statistical tests were performed, notably, binary logistic regression, leading to the conclusion that the fact that the party of the governor of the state of origin of the congressperson is or is not part of the presidential coalition affects how congruent the parliamentarian is in his vote in relation to the federal government.