Análise crítica do estudo de demanda do plano diretor do aeroporto internacional do Recife - Guararapes.

Abstract

This work presents a methodology for the development of a model of demand for the International Airport of Recife - named Guararapes. Firstly, the analysis of the problem searches to identify the determinant factors of the airport demand. The techniques of multiple Regressíon and Path Analysis were used, which permitted the adequate econometric model formulation. Afterwards, by using the resulting model, the chosen horizon year demand values were calculated, permítting the assessment of those presented in the Airport master Planning. Thus, the demand criticai analysis of the International Airport of Recife - Guararapes master Planning could be done. It is hoped that the methodology and conclusions Presented in this work will províde besides the analytical techníque a better formal manner to the ínterpretation of the statistical results by the use of Path Analysis in the formulation of an airport 's demand econometric model.