ARAÚJO, Rayana Santos.; BRITO, José Ivaldo Barbosa de.
Resumo:
The objective of this work was to elaborate the sceneries for next 20 years of tendencies of indices for
monitoring and detecting climate change over Bahia State. Also made a hindcast for the period from 1962 to
1980.The daily precipitation data used were of 71 sites. In the analysis of the results the sites considered
were those whose tendency of the indexes presented statistics p ≤ 0.1. The RClimdex was used to calculate
the indices. Starting from the obtained tendencies the projections of the future sceneries for 5 indexes weve.
The values found were compared with the current ones. An increase in the total annual precipitation, in the
intensity of the rains, in the number of days with precipitation higher than 50 mm/day and dry consecutive
days. Therefore, we conclude that the rainy period, in the state of Bahia, it will be shorter that the current
ones, however with more intense rains and less days with rain, while the dry period will be longer and with
larger number of days without rain.